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Beerschot VA vs Lommel SK

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Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Olympisch Stadion
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AI Match Summary

Beerschot VA play Lommel SK in the Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Beerschot VA averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Lommel SK averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Beerschot VA won 2, Lommel SK won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Beerschot VA and 1.88 for Lommel SK. This points to a Lommel SK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Beerschot VA
15%
Draws
44%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Beerschot VA picked up more points recently compared to Lommel SK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 10%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beerschot VA Lommel SK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Lommel SK
1:3
May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Lommel SK vs Beerschot VA
3:1
Apr 17, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Lommel SK
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Beerschot VA
1:2
Feb 7, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Beerschot VA
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beerschot VA Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright-Phillips D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lommel SK Compare

Top Goalscorer van Duiven J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schoofs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beerschot VA 39 / 100
Lommel SK 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beerschot VA Lommel SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lommel SK or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Beerschot VA attacking → ← attacking Lommel SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beerschot VA scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Lommel SK let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Beerschot VA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lommel SK lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 57
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25