Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
AI Match Summary
Beijing Guoan host Chongqing Tonglianglong in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Beijing Guoan have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Chongqing Tonglianglong's 1.07 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Beijing Guoan slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.06 - 0.81) back Beijing Guoan to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Chongqing Tonglianglong on wins alone.
- Model gives Beijing Guoan a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Beijing Guoan scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Beijing Guoan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Chongqing Tonglianglong conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home)Chongqing Tonglianglong
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35:48 | 26 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40:47 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
