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Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mao W.
13'
Yang Mingrui
45'
Cao Yongjing

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Beijing Guoan and Dalian Yingbo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Beijing Guoan
35%
Draws
36%
Dalian Yingbo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dalian Yingbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Dalian Yingbo have produced (1.47).
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Beijing Guoan taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Beijing Guoan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 19%
Dalian Yingbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Dalian Yingbo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Super League
Dalian Yingbo vs Beijing Guoan
1:1
May 6, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo
3:0
Sep 26, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo
4:2
Jun 21, 2025 FA Cup
Dalian Yingbo vs Beijing Guoan
1:2
May 5, 2025 Super League
Dalian Yingbo vs Beijing Guoan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lin Liangming
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dalian Yingbo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 76 / 100
Dalian Yingbo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Dalian Yingbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Guoan scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Beijing Guoan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Dalian Yingbo conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Dalian Yingbo
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beijing Guoan

(Home)
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
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Dalian Yingbo

(Away)
05 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
2 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
23 Aug
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
19 Aug
Shanghai Port
1 : 1
Dalian Yingbo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)