Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beijing Guoan vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

China China

FA Cup Workers' Stadium, Beijing
Beijing Guoan Logo

Beijing Guoan

3 - 1
FT
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Logo

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Deng Jiefu
Assist: Zhang Xizhe
46'
Sub
Jia Feifan In: Cao Yongjing
Out: Jia Feifan
46'
Sub
Fan Shuangjie In: Wang Gang
Out: Fan Shuangjie
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Beijing Guoan
35%
Draws
34%
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan have won more games recently than Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic.
  • Beijing Guoan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Beijing Guoan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Beijing Guoan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 14
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 FA Cup
Beijing Guoan vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng Jiefu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhang Yuning
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Lu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 85 / 100
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beijing Guoan scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Beijing Guoan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beijing Guoan

(Home)
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

(Away)
18 Sept
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 0
Wenzhou Professional
13 Sept
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
22 Aug
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
15 Aug
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
1 : 0
Shanghai Port B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Guangdong Shudihong 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 4
TBD -
Meizhou Hakka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Xiamen Chengyi 0
Shenzhen 2028 1
TBD -
Shaanxi Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Wenzhou Professional 0
TBD -
Nantong Zhiyun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 1
Xiamen Feilu 0
TBD -
Guangdong GZ-Power -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Chongqing Handa 0
Qingdao Red Lions 1
TBD -
Nanjing City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 1
Nantong Haimen 0
TBD -
Guangxi Hengchen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Guangdong Mingtu 0
TBD -
Yanbian Longding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 2
Guizhou Guiyang 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 2
Ganzhou Ruishi 0
TBD -
Suzhou Dongwu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Changchun Xidu 2
TBD -
Dingnan Ganlian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 2
Beijing Technology 1
TBD -
Ningbo Professional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Qingdao Fuli 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
TBD -
Changchun Yatai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Quanzhou Qinggong 0
Jiangxi Lushan 7
TBD -
Dalian Kun City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Ningxia Pingluo 0
Hangzhou Linping 2
TBD -
Foshan Nanshi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 2
Taian Tiankuang 1
TBD -
Shijiazhuang Gongfu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Yunnan Cuanhe 0
Guangzhou Dandelion 1
TBD -
Wuxi Wugou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/32-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Meizhou Hakka 1
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Shenzhen 2028 0
Shaanxi Union 2
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Nantong Zhiyun 1
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Qingdao Red Lions 1
Nanjing City 0
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 0
Guangxi Hengchen 4
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Yanbian Longding 0
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 0
Shenzhen Juniors 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 0
Suzhou Dongwu 2
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Dingnan Ganlian 2
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 1
Ningbo Professional 4
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
Changchun Yatai 1
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Jiangxi Lushan 2
Dalian Kun City 0
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Hangzhou Linping 1
Foshan Nanshi 0
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Guangzhou Dandelion 0
Wuxi Wugou 2
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/16-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1
Shaanxi Union 2
Zhejiang Professional 1
Dalian Kewei 1
Liaoning Tieren 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Qingdao Red Lions 0
Wuhan Three Towns 1
Guangxi Hengchen 0
Shandong Taishan 5
Shanghai Second 1
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Juniors 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 3
Suzhou Dongwu 2
Yunnan Yukun 4
Shanghai Zetian 0
Chengdu Rongcheng 4
Ningbo Professional 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1
Qingdao West Coast 2
Jiangxi Lushan 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 2
Hangzhou Linping 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0
Shanghai Shenhua 2
Wuxi Wugou 2
Qingdao Hainiu 3
1/8-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Shaanxi Union 0
Dalian Kewei 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Wuhan Three Towns 2
Shandong Taishan 3
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1
Yunnan Yukun 4
Chengdu Rongcheng 3
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Qingdao West Coast 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shanghai Shenhua 4
Qingdao Hainiu 1
Quarter-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1
Beijing Guoan 3
Shandong Taishan 0
Shanghai Port 3
Yunnan Yukun 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong 0
Dalian Yingbo 1
Shanghai Shenhua 0
Semi-finals
Beijing Guoan -
Shanghai Port -
Yunnan Yukun -
Dalian Yingbo -
Final
TBD -
TBD -