Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka
China
Super League 2025 Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
Match Events
6'
6'
Abreu F.
18'
18'
Abreu F.
Assist: Bai Yang
21'
21'
Liao Junjian
AI Match Summary
Beijing Guoan in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beijing Guoan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Beijing Guoan lately — more wins on the board than Meizhou Hakka.
- Win probability leans Beijing Guoan's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Beijing Guoan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Meizhou Hakka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka
5:1
Jun 25, 2025 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Beijing Guoan
0:4
Sep 20, 2024 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Beijing Guoan
1:3
May 11, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka
3:2
Jul 12, 2023 Super League
Meizhou Hakka vs Beijing Guoan
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Abreu F.
4 Goals Assists Leader Zhang Yuning
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Meizhou Hakka Compare
Top Goalscorer Omarsson E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beijing Guoan 76 / 100
Meizhou Hakka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beijing Guoan Meizhou Hakka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beijing Guoan scored in 96% of their last 28 games.
Meizhou Hakka let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Beijing Guoan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Beijing Guoan VS Meizhou Hakka
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home) 26 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 2 Beijing Guoan
21 Jul
Dalian Kewei
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
23 May
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
15 May
Beijing Guoan
4 : 2 Qingdao Hainiu
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Meizhou Hakka
(Away) 26 Jul
Yanbian Longding
2 : 1 Meizhou Hakka
18 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 0 Dalian Kun City
11 Jul
Shaanxi Union
4 : 0 Meizhou Hakka
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3 Changchun Yatai
27 Jun
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 3 Meizhou Hakka
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Yanbian Longding
2 : 1 Meizhou Hakka
11 Jul
Shaanxi Union
4 : 0 Meizhou Hakka
27 Jun
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 3 Meizhou Hakka
14 Jun
Wuxi Wugou
1 : 1 Meizhou Hakka
24 May
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 1 Meizhou Hakka
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 72:44 | 66 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 67:35 | 64 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 60:28 | 60 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 69:46 | 57 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 69:46 | 53 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | 44 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 60:51 | 42 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47:52 | 42 |
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:43 | 40 |
| 10 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 52:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Dalian Yingbo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 35:59 | 27 |
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 25 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 36:71 | 21 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26:52 | 19 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - League One (Main)
