Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Pohang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
AFC Champions League Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
Match Events
2'
2'
Akolo C.
6'
6'
Tranziska J.
(Penalty)
12'
12'
Zhang Xizhe
AI Match Summary
The AFC Champions League game between Beijing Guoan and Pohang finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Beijing Guoan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Beijing Guoan a 42% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Beijing Guoan have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%
Pohang Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Pohang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 AFC Champions League
Beijing Guoan vs Pohang
3:1
Apr 23, 2013 AFC Champions League
Beijing Guoan vs Pohang
2:0
Feb 27, 2013 AFC Champions League
Pohang vs Beijing Guoan
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Akolo C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zhang Xizhe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Pohang Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beijing Guoan 85 / 100
Pohang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beijing Guoan Pohang
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beijing Guoan's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Beijing Guoan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Pohang conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Beijing Guoan VS Pohang
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home) 15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Aug
Beijing Guoan
2 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 3
Pohang
(Away) 20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1 Seoul
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2 Pohang
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
05 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 0 Pohang
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2 Pohang
05 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 0 Pohang
30 Aug
Gangwon
0 : 0 Pohang
25 Aug
Jeju SK
1 : 2 Pohang
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United F.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor DT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Port MTI FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Cong An Ha Noi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Neftchi Fargona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pakhtakor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Wasl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tractor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
