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Stadium Background

Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu

China China

Super League Workers' Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beijing Guoan play Qingdao Hainiu in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Beijing Guoan averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Qingdao Hainiu averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Beijing Guoan won 2, Qingdao Hainiu won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Beijing Guoan and 1.63 for Qingdao Hainiu. This points to a Beijing Guoan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Beijing Guoan
28%
Draws
22%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Qingdao Hainiu.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Beijing Guoan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 14%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu
4:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:4
May 17, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Hainiu
6:0
May 21, 2024 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Yuning
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yue Tze-Nam
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Wenjie
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ngan Cheuk-Pan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 48 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Qingdao Hainiu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Guoan scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Qingdao Hainiu let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Beijing Guoan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Qingdao Hainiu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Qingdao Hainiu
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
10Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
11Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348