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Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Zhang Xizhe In: Soler S.
Out: Zhang Xizhe
45'
Sub
Zheng Kaimu In: Li Ang
Out: Zheng Kaimu
45'
Liu Yiming

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Beijing Guoan and Wuhan Three Towns finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Beijing Guoan
35%
Draws
26%
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Wuhan Three Towns haven't matched Beijing Guoan's recent run of results.
  • Beijing Guoan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 16%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beijing Guoan Wuhan Three Towns
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan
0:2
Aug 25, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
4:0
Apr 15, 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan
4:4
Jul 7, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beijing Guoan 84 / 100
Wuhan Three Towns 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beijing Guoan Wuhan Three Towns

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beijing Guoan's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Wuhan Three Towns's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Beijing Guoan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beijing Guoan VS Wuhan Three Towns
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beijing Guoan

(Home)
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 7

Wuhan Three Towns

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhejiang Professional
4 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)