Sport Picks
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Workers' Stadium, Beijing 
Match Events
15'
15'
Zhang Yuning
36'
36'
Dawhan
Assist: Abreu F.
46'
46'
Sub
Ye Chugui In: Caio Vinicius
Out: Ye Chugui
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beijing Guoan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Yunnan Yukun haven't matched Beijing Guoan's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Beijing Guoan taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 14%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun
3:3
May 2, 2026 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan
3:3
Aug 20, 2025 FA Cup
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun
7:0
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Dawhan
1 Goals Assists Leader Zhang Yuning
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Yunnan Yukun Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdusalam Bunyamin
1 Goals Assists Leader Taty Maritu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beijing Guoan 84 / 100
Yunnan Yukun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beijing Guoan Yunnan Yukun
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beijing Guoan's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Yunnan Yukun conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Beijing Guoan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Beijing Guoan VS Yunnan Yukun
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Beijing Guoan
(Home) 09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3 Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Pohang
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Aug
Beijing Guoan
2 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
Page 1 of 3
Yunnan Yukun
(Away) 10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1 Yunnan Yukun
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
02 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
29 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
6 : 0 Yunnan Yukun
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1 Yunnan Yukun
29 Aug
Zhejiang Professional
6 : 0 Yunnan Yukun
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
01 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 2 Yunnan Yukun
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3 Yunnan Yukun
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | 40 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
