Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs FC Alpendorada

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sancho D.
65' Event
Ismael

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar host FC Alpendorada in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Beira Mar at 1.38 goals for, 1.13 against; FC Alpendorada at 1.38 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Beira Mar have won 4 to FC Alpendorada's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring Beira Mar. Beira Mar in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Beira Mar
33%
Draws
27%
FC Alpendorada
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Both Beira Mar and FC Alpendorada exhibit evenly balanced form metrics in recent matches.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Beira Mar.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar FC Alpendorada
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Beira Mar
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs FC Alpendorada
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Beira Mar
1:2
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs FC Alpendorada
2:0
Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs FC Alpendorada
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sancho D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Alpendorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 50 / 100
FC Alpendorada 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar FC Alpendorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beira Mar scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

FC Alpendorada let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Beira Mar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Alpendorada lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS FC Alpendorada
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577