Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beira Mar vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Muale Nzanza D.
27' Event
Pinto P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Beira Mar
30%
Draws
19%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Beira Mar haven't matched Leca's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Beira Mar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Leca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Leca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Leca
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Beira Mar
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Beira Mar
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Leca
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Leca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Muale Nzanza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 95 / 100
Leca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beira Mar found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Beira Mar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS Leca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2
Beira Mar
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Beira Mar
4 : 0
Uniao Lamas
04 Apr
FC Alpendorada
0 : 1
Beira Mar
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Leca

(Away)
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)