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Beira Mar vs Vila Cortez Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Beira Mar and Vila Cortez finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Beira Mar
20%
Draws
0%
Vila Cortez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beira Mar come out ahead of Vila Cortez on wins alone.
  • Model gives Beira Mar a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Cortez Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beira Mar Vila Cortez
Matches Played 39 28
Wins 17 2
Draws 13 1
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 1.31 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.85 3.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Beira Mar vs Vila Cortez
3:0
Oct 25, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Vila Cortez vs Beira Mar
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beira Mar 95 / 100
Vila Cortez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beira Mar Vila Cortez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Cortez let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Vila Cortez registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Beira Mar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Scoring Trends

Beira Mar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beira Mar

(Home)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
Page 1 of 8

Vila Cortez

(Away)
08 Sept
Vila Cortez
2 : 4
Anadia
11 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 1
Vila Cortez
10 Apr
Vila Cortez
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
03 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
8 : 0
Vila Cortez
14 Mar
Anadia
7 : 0
Vila Cortez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)