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Beit Shean vs Hapoel Karmiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beit Shean host Hapoel Karmiel in the Liga Alef North. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Hapoel Karmiel have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Beit Shean have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Beit Shean have won 0 to Hapoel Karmiel's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.32 vs 0.63, favoring Hapoel Karmiel. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Beit Shean
35%
Draws
31%
Hapoel Karmiel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Karmiel lately — more wins on the board than Beit Shean.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Beit Shean Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beit Shean Hapoel Karmiel
Matches Played 18 22
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Beit Shean
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beit Shean 32 / 100
Hapoel Karmiel 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beit Shean Hapoel Karmiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Karmiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beit Shean scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Beit Shean went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Karmiel conceded in 55% of 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Beit Shean VS Hapoel Karmiel
0.25 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beit Shean

(Home)
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 0
Beit Shean
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0
MS Tira
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
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Hapoel Karmiel

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1
Hapoel Karmiel
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)