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Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Feras F.
90' Event
Berkman E.
90' Event
Shahar R.

AI Match Summary

Beit Shean in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beit Shean.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Beit Shean
30%
Draws
23%
Ironi Baka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beit Shean

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beit Shean lately — more wins on the board than Ironi Baka.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Beit Shean Clean Sheet 68%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 26%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beit Shean Ironi Baka
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka
2:1
Mar 20, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Beit Shean
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Beit Shean
0:0
Dec 10, 2024 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beit Shean Compare

Top Goalscorer Berkman E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shahar R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Ironi Baka Compare

Top Goalscorer Feras F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beit Shean 41 / 100
Ironi Baka 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beit Shean Ironi Baka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beit Shean Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Baka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 20 matches.

Beit Shean scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Beit Shean has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Beit Shean VS Ironi Baka
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
13% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beit Shean

(Home)
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 0
Beit Shean
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0
MS Tira
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
Page 1 of 4

Ironi Baka

(Away)
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
05 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
0 : 0
Ironi Baka
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 5 3 1 1 14:7 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
13 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
14 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
15 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
16 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 5 0 1 4 2:14 1
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)