Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploiesti

Beitar Jerusalem

Thu, Jul 30, 2026

3 - 3

05:30 PM

AEK Larnaca

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Milicevic H.

(Penalty)

41'

Cohen A.

45'

Atzili O.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Beitar Jerusalem

15%

Draws

49%

AEK Larnaca

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Beitar Jerusalem average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of AEK Larnaca's 1.5.
Win probability leans AEK Larnaca's way, sitting at 70%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beitar Jerusalem	AEK Larnaca
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	13	13
Draws	9	8
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.83	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.16
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Conference League

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

3:3

Jul 23, 2026 Conference League

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem

0:1

Jul 22, 2021 Club Friendly

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Atzili O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Milicevic H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bajic R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.99

Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Jerusalem 14 / 100

AEK Larnaca 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beitar Jerusalem AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Jerusalem's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AEK Larnaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Beitar Jerusalem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Jerusalem VS AEK Larnaca

1.75 Goals Scored 1.88

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

(Home)

15 Sept

Beitar Jerusalem

3 : 1

Maccabi Petah Tikva

07 Sept

Sakhnin

0 : 1

Beitar Jerusalem

03 Sept

Hapoel Tel Aviv

3 : 0

Beitar Jerusalem

29 Aug

Beitar Jerusalem

1 : 4

Netanya

17 Aug

Hapoel Ramat Gan

3 : 4

Beitar Jerusalem

Page 1 of 6

AEK Larnaca

(Away)

18 Sept

Omonia 29th May

1 : 2

AEK Larnaca

13 Sept

AEK Larnaca

0 : 1

Pafos

06 Sept

Nea Salamis

1 : 4

AEK Larnaca

29 Aug

AEK Larnaca

3 : 1

APOEL

21 Aug

AEK Larnaca

5 : 2

Omonia 29th May

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka -

TBD -

Petrocub Hincesti -

ML Vitebsk -

TBD -

Sutjeska -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana -

TBD -

Drita -

Flora -

TBD -

TNS -

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Bissen -

TBD -

Gyor -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Motherwell -

TBD -

HB Torshavn -

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir -

TBD -

FK Sarajevo 2

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz -

TBD -

Mornar Bar 2

Atletic Escaldes 4

Debrecen -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

Pyunik Yerevan 4

Polissya Zhytomyr -

TBD -

FC Copenhagen -

Hearts -

TBD -

FC Hegelmann 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

Zira FK 6

Torpedo Kutaisi 0

Penybont 0

FC Santa Coloma 4

TBD -

Rapid Vienna -

Alashkert 4

Yelimay Semey 3

TBD -

CFR Cluj -

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Mondorf 2

Dinamo Tbilisi 3

Petrovac 2

Zalgiris 5

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Valletta -

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks -

TBD -

Panathinaikos -

Spartak Trnava -

TBD -

CSKA 1948 Sofia -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg -

TBD -

Caernarfon 0

Levadia 10

LNZ Cherkasy -

TBD -

Gent -

Vllaznia 2

Malisheva 6

TBD -

Hibernian -

Bravo -

TBD -

Europa FC 0

Shkendija Tetovo 6

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj -

TBD -

Brann -

Dila Gori 3

Virtus 2

TBD -

Apollon Limassol -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Ludogorets -

Zilina -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Bohemians 2

St Josephs 0

Connahs Q. 2

FC Ballkani 3

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka -

TBD -

Derry City -

Vikingur 3

Stjarnan 5

Differdange 1

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Glentoran 1

RFS 4

TBD -

Vestri -

Valur -

TBD -

Zrinjski -

GAIS -

TBD -

Nordsjaelland -

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Aluminij -

TBD -

Dinamo City 4

FC Astana 2

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau -

TBD -

Noah -

AF Elbasani 1

BATE 2

TBD -

Sion -

Vojvodina -

TBD -

Ajax -

Shelbourne -

TBD -

Kalju 3

Linfield 2

Zeleznicar Pancevo -

TBD -

Braga -

Neftci Baku -

TBD -

Din. Minsk 2

Sileks 1

AEK Larnaca -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Decic 1

FK Liepaja 3

TBD -

Austria Vienna -

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda -

TBD -

Velez Mostar 2

Milsami 1

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan -

TBD -

UNA Strassen 3

La Fiorita 0

FK Panevezys -

TBD -

Tobol -

Lugano -

TBD -

Dukagjini -

NSI Runavik 3

Hamrun 2

TBD -

Koper -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Quarter-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 6

Petrocub Hincesti 3

ML Vitebsk 5

Sutjeska 1

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana 2

Drita 3

Flora 2

TNS 1

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar 4

Riga FC 8

Bissen 3

Gyor 7

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 8

Coleraine 0

Motherwell 5

HB Torshavn 0

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir 1

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz 6

Atletic Escaldes 0

Debrecen 1

Pyunik Yerevan 0

Polissya Zhytomyr 4

FC Copenhagen 5

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Zira FK 1

FC Santa Coloma 3

Rapid Vienna 9

Alashkert 1

CFR Cluj 4

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Dinamo Tbilisi 5

Zalgiris 7

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa 7

Valletta 1

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks 3

Panathinaikos 4

Spartak Trnava 0

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 4

Levadia 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

Gent 1

Malisheva 3

Hibernian 4

Bravo 3

Shkendija Tetovo 4

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj 3

Brann 5

Dila Gori 0

Apollon Limassol 7

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 4

Ludogorets 2

Zilina 3

GKS Katowice 4

Bohemians 5

FC Ballkani 4

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka 2

Derry City 0

Stjarnan 2

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin 3

Jablonec 4

RFS 5

Vestri 2

Valur 3

Zrinjski 2

GAIS 1

Nordsjaelland 6

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB 3

FK Auda Riga 7

Aluminij 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau 2

Noah 3

BATE 1

Sion 5

Vojvodina 2

Ajax 8

Shelbourne 6

Kalju 4

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0

Braga 5

Neftci Baku 3

Din. Minsk 4

AEK Larnaca 3

Beitar Jerusalem 4

FK Liepaja 1

Austria Vienna 5

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda 4

Velez Mostar 0

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

UNA Strassen 0

FK Panevezys 2

Tobol 3

Lugano 6

Dukagjini 1

NSI Runavik 4

Koper 3

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Semi-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 3

ML Vitebsk 2

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori 1

Drita 9

Flora 0

Inter Escaldes 6

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Riga FC 2

Gyor 1

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 1

Motherwell 3

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Inter Turku 4

Vaduz 3

Debrecen 1

FC Copenhagen 8

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Rapid Vienna 6

CFR Cluj 1

Tromso 7

TBD -

Brighton -

Zalgiris 2

Hajduk Split 9

Rakow Czestochowa 1

Hammarby 0

Panathinaikos 3

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 1

Gent 2

Hibernian 2

Shkendija Tetovo 1

PAOK -

TBD -

Brann 4

Apollon Limassol 3

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

GKS Katowice 2

Bohemians 2

Midtjylland 5

Rijeka 2

Ilves 1

Rangers -

TBD -

Jablonec 4

RFS 1

Valur 0

Nordsjaelland 7

Sheriff Tiraspol 2

St. Gallen 8

FK Auda Riga 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Noah 3

Sion 4

Ajax 5

Shelbourne 3

Braga 1

Din. Minsk 0

Beitar Jerusalem 3

Austria Vienna 4

Twente 9

Dun. Streda 3

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

Tobol 1

Lugano 4

NSI Runavik 2

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Final

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

Borac Banja Luka 6

Shamrock Rovers 1

KuPS 2

Drita 2

Inter Escaldes 3

Klaksvik 1

Riga FC 2

Lincoln Red Imps 3

Larne 2

Motherwell 2

Freiburg 7

Gornik Zabrze 3

Monaco 7

Inter Turku 1

FC Copenhagen 4

Hearts 5

Rapid Vienna 4

Tromso 0

Brighton 4

Hajduk Split 5

Rakow Czestochowa 4

Panathinaikos 4

Hradec Kralove 3

Gent 3

Hibernian 2

PAOK 3

Brann 4

Atalanta 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0

Midtjylland 6

Rijeka 1

Rangers 1

Jablonec 2

Nordsjaelland 4

St. Gallen 2

Dinamo City 3

Pafos 5

Sion 5

Ajax 9

Braga 2

Austria Vienna 0

Twente 4

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe 4

Partizan 3

Lugano 3

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

Europe

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

AEK Larnaca Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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