Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploiesti

Beitar Jerusalem

Thu, Jul 30, 2026

3 - 3

05:30 PM

AEK Larnaca

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Milicevic H.

(Penalty)

41'

Cohen A.

45'

Atzili O.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Conference League tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Beitar Jerusalem

28%

Draws

22%

AEK Larnaca

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Beitar Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Beitar Jerusalem have won more games recently than AEK Larnaca.
Win probability leans Beitar Jerusalem's way, sitting at 50%.
Beitar Jerusalem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 68%

AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beitar Jerusalem	AEK Larnaca
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	18	12
Draws	11	8
Losses	4	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Conference League

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

3:3

Jul 23, 2026 Conference League

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem

0:1

Jul 22, 2021 Club Friendly

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Atzili O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Milicevic H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bajic R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Jerusalem 59 / 100

AEK Larnaca 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beitar Jerusalem AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Jerusalem's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

AEK Larnaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Beitar Jerusalem remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Jerusalem VS AEK Larnaca

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

(Home)

30 Jul

Beitar Jerusalem

3 : 3

AEK Larnaca

23 Jul

AEK Larnaca

0 : 1

Beitar Jerusalem

18 Jul

Beitar Jerusalem

2 : 3

Hapoel Tel Aviv

09 Jul

Beitar Jerusalem

1 : 0

Dukagjini

07 Jul

Arda

0 : 0

Beitar Jerusalem

Page 1 of 7

AEK Larnaca

(Away)

30 Jul

Beitar Jerusalem

3 : 3

AEK Larnaca

23 Jul

AEK Larnaca

0 : 1

Beitar Jerusalem

16 Jul

Apollon Limassol

0 : 0

AEK Larnaca

10 Jul

Ajax

1 : 0

AEK Larnaca

07 Jul

PAOK

3 : 2

AEK Larnaca

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Hajduk Split-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo City4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

Dynamo Kyiv-

TBD-

Qarabag Agdam-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Tromso-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

Hammarby-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Midtjylland-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

Twente-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

Sheriff Tiraspol-

TBD-

St. Gallen-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana2

Drita3

Borac Banja Luka6

Petrocub Hincesti3

ML Vitebsk5

Sutjeska1

Flora2

TNS1

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar4

Riga FC8

Bissen3

Gyor7

Basaksehir1

Inter Turku3

Vaduz6

Atletic Escaldes0

Dinamo Tbilisi5

Zalgiris7

TBD-

Hajduk Split-

Partizan5

UNA Strassen0

FK Panevezys2

Tobol3

Paks3

Panathinaikos4

Spartak Trnava0

CSKA 1948 Sofia1

Vojvodina2

Ajax8

Shelbourne6

Kalju4

FCSB3

FK Auda Riga7

Aluminij1

Dinamo City4

Zimbru Chisinau2

Noah3

BATE1

Sion5

Zeleznicar Pancevo0

Braga5

Neftci Baku3

Din. Minsk4

Valur3

Zrinjski2

GAIS1

Nordsjaelland6

Dynamo Kyiv-

TBD-

Qarabag Agdam-

Hapoel Tel Aviv4

Ludogorets2

Zilina3

GKS Katowice4

AEK Larnaca3

Beitar Jerusalem4

FK Liepaja1

Austria Vienna5

Alashkert1

CFR Cluj4

TBD-

Tromso-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj3

Brann5

Dila Gori0

Apollon Limassol7

Lugano6

Dukagjini1

NSI Runavik4

Koper3

Rakow Czestochowa7

Valletta1

TBD-

Hammarby-

HJK8

Coleraine0

Motherwell5

HB Torshavn0

Malisheva3

Hibernian4

Bravo3

Shkendija Tetovo4

IFK Goteborg4

Levadia3

LNZ Cherkasy0

Gent1

Paide Linnameeskond2

Zira FK1

FC Santa Coloma3

Rapid Vienna9

Bohemians5

FC Ballkani4

TBD-

Midtjylland-

Debrecen1

Pyunik Yerevan0

Polissya Zhytomyr4

FC Copenhagen5

Varazdin3

Jablonec4

RFS5

Vestri2

Rijeka2

Derry City0

Stjarnan2

Ilves3

Twente-

TBD-

Dun. Streda4

Velez Mostar0

Sheriff Tiraspol-

TBD-

St. Gallen-

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

ML Vitebsk-

Flora-

Inter Escaldes-

Riga FC-

Gyor-

Inter Turku-

Vaduz-

Zalgiris-

Hajduk Split-

Partizan-

Tobol-

Panathinaikos-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

FK Auda Riga-

Dinamo City-

Noah-

Sion-

Braga-

Din. Minsk-

Valur-

Nordsjaelland-

Dynamo Kyiv-

Qarabag Agdam-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

GKS Katowice-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Austria Vienna-

CFR Cluj-

Tromso-

TBD-

Brann-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

NSI Runavik-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Hammarby-

HJK-

Motherwell-

Hibernian-

Shkendija Tetovo-

IFK Goteborg-

Gent-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians-

Midtjylland-

Debrecen-

FC Copenhagen-

Jablonec-

RFS-

Rijeka-

Ilves-

Twente-

Dun. Streda-

Sheriff Tiraspol-

St. Gallen-

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca

Europe

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

AEK Larnaca Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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