Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
2 - 3
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Leidner D.
15'
Antwi N.
18'
Enow B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Beitar Jerusalem
15%
Draws
45%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beitar Jerusalem come out ahead of Hapoel Tel Aviv on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Tel Aviv taking it.
  • Beitar Jerusalem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Tel Aviv, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 13%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
3:0
Jul 18, 2026 Toto Cup
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:3
May 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:1
May 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:1
Jan 1, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Chico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dappa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Jerusalem 19 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Jerusalem's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Beitar Jerusalem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Jerusalem VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

(Home)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3