Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
2 - 3
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Leidner D.
15'
Antwi N.
18'
Enow B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Hapoel Tel Aviv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Beitar Jerusalem
44%
Draws
20%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beitar Jerusalem come out ahead of Hapoel Tel Aviv on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Beitar Jerusalem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Tel Aviv, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 18 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Toto Cup
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:3
May 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:1
May 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:1
Jan 1, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Chico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dappa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Jerusalem 36 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Jerusalem's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Beitar Jerusalem stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Jerusalem VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

(Home)
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
09 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 0
Dukagjini
07 Jul
Arda
0 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Jul
Botev Vratsa
2 : 2
Beitar Jerusalem
23 May
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Jul
Banska Bystrica
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
11 Jul
Dun. Streda
0 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
08 Jul
Zlin
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
03 Jul
Yehuda
3 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Beitar Jerusalem2
Hapoel Tel Aviv3