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Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Weissman S.
Assist: Yosefi T.
28' Event
Atzili O.
Assist: Yosefi T.
45'
Enow B.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al game between Beitar Jerusalem and Maccabi Petah Tikva finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beitar Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Beitar Jerusalem
15%
Draws
34%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beitar Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Beitar Jerusalem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Beitar Jerusalem have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 11%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.87 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
3:1
Mar 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
1:2
Dec 4, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
5:0
Aug 19, 2024 Toto Cup
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
1:4
May 20, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Weissman S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atzili O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Koren Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Jerusalem 29 / 100
Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Jerusalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Jerusalem found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Maccabi Petah Tikva let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Beitar Jerusalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Jerusalem VS Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Jerusalem

(Home)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
Page 1 of 7

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)