Sport Picks
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
18'
18'
Bashir B.
89'
89'
Elkayam T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Alef North game between Beitar Nahariya and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beitar Nahariya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm come out ahead of Beitar Nahariya on wins alone.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Beitar Nahariya taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Beitar Nahariya Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beitar Nahariya | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Liga Alef North
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beitar Nahariya Compare
Top Goalscorer Elkayam T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare
Top Goalscorer Bashir B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beitar Nahariya 40 / 100
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beitar Nahariya Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beitar Nahariya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beitar Nahariya found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (9 games).
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Beitar Nahariya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Beitar Nahariya VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.43 Goals Scored 0.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.25
71% Over 1.5 13%
43% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Beitar Nahariya
(Home) 09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1 Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
3 : 0 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2 Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
2 : 0 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
Page 1 of 2
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
23 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
3 : 0 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
10 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
2 : 0 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
09 Jan
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 6 FC Dimona
26 Dec
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
(Away) 09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 4
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
17 Jan
M. Nazareth
3 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
