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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Agudat Sport Ashdod

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Manneh P.

AI Match Summary

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem host Agudat Sport Ashdod in the Liga Alef South 2024/2025. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem at 1.25 goals for, 1.63 against; Agudat Sport Ashdod at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Agudat Sport Ashdod slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.31) back Agudat Sport Ashdod to edge this. Agudat Sport Ashdod in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
28%
Draws
22%
Agudat Sport Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Agudat Sport Ashdod has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Alef South 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 68%
Agudat Sport Ashdod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Agudat Sport Ashdod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:2
Feb 23, 2024 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:0
Sep 13, 2023 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
0:1
Feb 21, 2020 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Manneh P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Agudat Sport Ashdod Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 59 / 100
Agudat Sport Ashdod 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Agudat Sport Ashdod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Agudat Sport Ashdod let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Agudat Sport Ashdod lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00