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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem host Hapoel Marmorek in the Liga Alef South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Beitar Nordia Jerusalem have averaged 1.26 scored and 2.09 conceded recently, against Hapoel Marmorek's 0.86 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Beitar Nordia Jerusalem slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.50 - 0.81) back Hapoel Marmorek to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
20%
Draws
80%
Hapoel Marmorek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Marmorek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Beitar Nordia Jerusalem haven't matched Hapoel Marmorek's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hapoel Marmorek a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Hapoel Marmorek
Matches Played 23 21
Wins 4 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.26 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:1
Nov 5, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek
2:1
Feb 26, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 10 / 100
Hapoel Marmorek 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Hapoel Marmorek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Marmorek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Marmorek conceded in 76% of 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Marmorek lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS Hapoel Marmorek
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Home)
08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 5

Hapoel Marmorek

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
01 Oct
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
0 : 1
Ramat Hasharon
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)