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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Jerusalem FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ori Gafni R.
41' Event
Fadida R.
49' Event
Mizan B.

AI Match Summary

Jerusalem FC in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerusalem FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
20%
Draws
80%
Jerusalem FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Jerusalem FC have won more games recently than Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.
  • Win probability leans Jerusalem FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Jerusalem FC
Matches Played 22 23
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.14 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Jerusalem FC
1:3
Feb 20, 2026 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Jerusalem FC
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
4:2
Jan 10, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Jerusalem FC
3:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Ori Gafni R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

Jerusalem FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizan B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fadida R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 10 / 100
Jerusalem FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Jerusalem FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerusalem FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Defensive concern: Jerusalem FC conceded in 78% of 23 recent games.

Away concern: Jerusalem FC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem VS Jerusalem FC
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Home)
08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 5

Jerusalem FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Jerusalem FC
0 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
30 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 2
Jerusalem FC
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)