Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bejaia vs Oued Smar

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
64'
78' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Oued Smar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bejaia
15%
Draws
25%
Oued Smar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bejaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bejaia come out ahead of Oued Smar on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Bejaia taking it.
  • Bejaia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oued Smar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bejaia Clean Sheet 68%
Oued Smar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bejaia Oued Smar
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.29 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.32 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2015 Algeria Cup
Bejaia vs Oued Smar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bejaia 95 / 100
Oued Smar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bejaia Oued Smar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bejaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bejaia's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Oued Smar conceded in 75% of 4 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bejaia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bejaia VS Oued Smar
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bejaia

(Home)
03 Mar
Constantine
1 : 0
Bejaia
17 Jan
Bejaia
3 : 0
Hussein Dey
11 Dec
Bejaia
4 : 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik
06 Dec
Tessala
0 : 1
Bejaia
10 Jan
Bejaia
0 : 1
AE El Eulma
Page 1 of 7

Oued Smar

(Away)
26 Nov
USF Constantine
1 : 0
Oued Smar
26 Nov
Khenchela
1 : 0
Oued Smar
09 Jan
Oued Smar
1 : 2
Tadjenant
18 Dec
Bejaia
0 : 2
Oued Smar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger 2
USM Oran 0
Azzefoun 2
Biskra 3
Dahmouni 2
RC Kouba 1
Kabylie 0
RC Relizane 1
Ain Fakroun 2
Touggourt 0
Constantine 0
Eulma 1
ASM Oran 5
Dely Brahim 1
Tadamoun Souf 1
Ghriss 3
ASB Maghnia 1
SC Ain Defla 0
Cheraga 0
Mlila 1
Collo 1
Ouled Yaich 0
AS Barika 0
Chelghoum 1
Harrach 2
Maghnia 1
Guelma 0
El Kerma 1
USM Blida 3
OM Arzew 2
NR Bouakal 0
Tebessa 1
Hussein Dey 5
Bouchegouf 0
Boumedfaa 0
Saoura 3
JS Djijel 3
Kais 2
Oran 1
MO Bejaia 2
SC Ain Defla 2
JSM Tiaret 1
MC Debdaba 1
Ouled Djellal 2
Beni Thour 3
El Ogla 2
USM Alger 1
Paradou 3
ES Setif 3
Msila 1
ASO Chlef 1
CR Belouizdad 4
USB Tissemsilt 1
Lakhdaria 0
Bousbaa 1
Arba 2
Tadjenant 4
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Bejaia 0
Oued Smar 2
SCM Oran 8
Bouda 0
Azzaba 1
Bel Abbes 2
1/16-finals
MC Alger 1
Biskra 0
Dahmouni 0
RC Relizane 1
Ain Fakroun 2
Eulma 1
ASM Oran 0
Ghriss 1
ASB Maghnia 1
Mlila 0
Collo 0
Chelghoum 1
Harrach 2
El Kerma 0
USM Blida 1
Tebessa 2
Hussein Dey 1
Saoura 0
JS Djijel 1
MO Bejaia 2
SC Ain Defla 4
Ouled Djellal 2
Beni Thour 0
Paradou 3
ES Setif 2
CR Belouizdad 1
USB Tissemsilt 0
Arba 1
Tadjenant 2
Oued Smar 1
SCM Oran 0
Bel Abbes 1
1/8-finals
MC Alger 2
RC Relizane 1
Ain Fakroun 0
Ghriss 1
ASB Maghnia 1
Chelghoum 0
Harrach 0
Tebessa 1
Hussein Dey 2
MO Bejaia 1
SC Ain Defla 0
Paradou 1
ES Setif 2
Arba 1
Tadjenant 0
Bel Abbes 1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger 2
Ghriss 0
ASB Maghnia 0
Tebessa 1
Hussein Dey 2
Paradou 0
ES Setif 1
Bel Abbes 3
Semi-finals
MC Alger 3
Tebessa 0
Hussein Dey 1
Bel Abbes 0
Final
MC Alger 1
Hussein Dey 0