Sport Picks

Brazil

Tocantinense

Bela Vista-TO

1 - 0

Capital FC

Our Tip

Match Events

89'

Arnaldo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bela Vista-TO in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bela Vista-TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Bela Vista-TO

39%

Draws

30%

Capital FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Bela Vista-TO lately — more wins on the board than Capital FC.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Tocantinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 20%

Capital FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bela Vista-TO	Capital FC
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	12	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tocantinense

Bela Vista-TO vs Capital FC

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Mar 1, 2025 Tocantinense

Bela Vista-TO vs Capital FC

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Feb 25, 2024 Tocantinense

Capital FC vs Bela Vista-TO

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Mar 25, 2023 Tocantinense

Bela Vista-TO vs Capital FC

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Mar 18, 2023 Tocantinense

Capital FC vs Bela Vista-TO

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bela Vista-TO Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnaldo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Capital FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista-TO 32 / 100

Capital FC 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bela Vista-TO Capital FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Capital FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bela Vista-TO remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bela Vista-TO VS Capital FC

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tocantinopolis	7	6	1	0	10:1	19
2	Uniao Carmolandense	7	4	1	2	12:5	13
3	Gurupi	7	4	1	2	10:6	13
4	Capital FC	7	2	3	2	10:9	9
5	Araguaina	7	2	2	3	7:7	8
6	Bela Vista-TO	7	2	2	3	8:14	8
7	Palmas	7	1	2	4	4:10	5
8	Guarai SC	7	0	2	5	3:12	2