Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bela Vista U20 vs Araguacema U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bela Vista U20 play Araguacema U20 in the Tocantinense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bela Vista U20 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Araguacema U20 averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Bela Vista U20 won 0, Araguacema U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 4, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Bela Vista U20 and 1.19 for Araguacema U20. This points to a Araguacema U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Bela Vista U20
20%
Draws
45%
Araguacema U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araguacema U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Bela Vista U20 picked up more points recently compared to Araguacema U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Bela Vista U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Araguacema U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bela Vista U20 Araguacema U20
Matches Played 17 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Tocantinense U20
Araguacema U20 vs Bela Vista U20
4:0
May 17, 2026 Tocantinense U20
Bela Vista U20 vs Araguacema U20
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bela Vista U20 36 / 100
Araguacema U20 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bela Vista U20 Araguacema U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Araguacema U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bela Vista U20 attacking → ← attacking Araguacema U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista U20 scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Araguacema U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bela Vista U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Araguacema U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 38
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Batalhao U20651015:616
2Araguaia (TO) U20630313:99
3Interporto U2051224:75
4Uniao de Palmas U2050142:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Carmolandense U20660026:318
2Araguacema U20631212:410
3Bela Vista U20621311:107
4Central Tocantinense U2060061:330