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Belarus U21 vs R. Volgograd

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belarus U21 play R. Volgograd in the Friendly International 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belarus U21 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. R. Volgograd averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Belarus U21 won 0, R. Volgograd won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 11, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Belarus U21 and 1.56 for R. Volgograd. This points to a R. Volgograd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Belarus U21
20%
Draws
51%
R. Volgograd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: R. Volgograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Belarus U21 picked up more points recently compared to R. Volgograd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Belarus U21 Clean Sheet 15%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus U21 R. Volgograd
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.84 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2023 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs R. Volgograd
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Omelyanchuk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsepenkov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Shilnikov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magomedov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus U21 29 / 100
R. Volgograd 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus U21 R. Volgograd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: R. Volgograd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belarus U21 attacking → ← attacking R. Volgograd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belarus U21 scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

R. Volgograd let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Belarus U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

R. Volgograd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 45
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63