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Belarus U21 vs Russia U21

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Dubinets I.
86' Event
Sokolovskiy A.

AI Match Summary

Belarus U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belarus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Belarus U21
15%
Draws
57%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Russia U21 have won more games recently than Belarus U21.
  • Model gives Russia U21 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Belarus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus U21 Russia U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.24 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
2:0
Nov 15, 2023 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
1:3
Sep 21, 2022 Friendly International
Belarus U21 vs Russia U21
1:6
May 31, 2017 Friendly International
Russia U21 vs Belarus U21
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubinets I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sokolovskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Russia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus U21 22 / 100
Russia U21 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus U21 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Belarus U21 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Russia U21 conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Belarus U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belarus U21 VS Russia U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus U21

(Home)
24 Sept
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Belarus U21
08 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U21
05 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 0
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
Austria U21
2 : 1
Belarus U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
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Russia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 8
Russia U21
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