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Belarus vs Northern Ireland Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 ZTE Aréna, Zalaegerszeg
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Match Events

18'
Pechenin K.
41'
Politevich S.
43'
Toal E.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Belarus and Northern Ireland finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Belarus
35%
Draws
32%
Northern Ireland
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Northern Ireland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Northern Ireland here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Belarus Clean Sheet 68%
Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus Northern Ireland
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.08 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Northern Ireland vs Belarus
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Northern Ireland
0:0
Jun 11, 2019 Euro
Belarus vs Northern Ireland
0:1
Mar 24, 2019 Euro
Northern Ireland vs Belarus
2:1
May 27, 2016 Friendly International
Northern Ireland vs Belarus
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus 41 / 100
Northern Ireland 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus Northern Ireland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Belarus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Belarus scored in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Northern Ireland let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belarus VS Northern Ireland
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus

(Home)
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
Page 1 of 6

Northern Ireland

(Away)
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Hungary
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1
Northern Ireland
08 Jun
France
3 : 1
Northern Ireland
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1
Northern Ireland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Kosovo 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
3 Cyprus 6 2 0 4 4:15 6
4 Lithuania 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bulgaria 6 2 3 1 3:6 9
3 Belarus 6 1 4 1 3:4 7
4 Luxembourg 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Armenia 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Faroe Islands 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Latvia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)