Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belarus vs Russia

World World

Friendly International 2024 Dinamo Stadium, Minsk
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Oblyakov I.
Assist: Miranchuk Al.
20' Event
Tyukavin K.
Assist: Oblyakov I.
37'
Gromyko V.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Belarus and Russia finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Russia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Belarus
30%
Draws
33%
Russia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belarus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Russia come out ahead of Belarus on wins alone.
  • Belarus are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Russia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Belarus Clean Sheet 10%
Russia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belarus Russia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.18 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Belarus vs Russia
1:4
Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Belarus vs Russia
0:4
Jun 7, 2015 Friendly International
Russia vs Belarus
4:2
May 17, 2002 Friendly International
Russia vs Belarus
1:1
Aug 17, 1999 Friendly International
Belarus vs Russia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belarus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chalov F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oblyakov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belarus 40 / 100
Russia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belarus Russia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Belarus remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Belarus scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Russia conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belarus VS Russia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belarus

(Home)
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
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Russia

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
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