Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belasica Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Belasica Strumica and Kozuf Gevgelija finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Belasica Strumica
11%
Draws
80%
Kozuf Gevgelija
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belasica Strumica come out ahead of Kozuf Gevgelija on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kozuf Gevgelija a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 10%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Kozuf Gevgelija
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 3
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 10 / 100
Kozuf Gevgelija 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Kozuf Gevgelija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasica Strumica found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Kozuf Gevgelija let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Belasica Strumica has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS Kozuf Gevgelija
1.63 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasica Strumica

(Home)
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Belasica Strumica
1 : 0
Kamenica Sasa
10 May
Novaci
1 : 0
Belasica Strumica
02 May
Belasica Strumica
0 : 1
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Away)
30 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
4 : 0
Borec
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 4
Teteks
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)