Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belasica Strumica vs Osogovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belasica Strumica in this 2. MFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belasica Strumica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Belasica Strumica
35%
Draws
14%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belasica Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belasica Strumica lately — more wins on the board than Osogovo.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Belasica Strumica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 20%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Osogovo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Osogovo vs Belasica Strumica
1:3
Aug 15, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Osogovo
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Osogovo
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Osogovo vs Belasica Strumica
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Belasica Strumica
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 76 / 100
Osogovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Osogovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belasica Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasica Strumica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Belasica Strumica scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Osogovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS Osogovo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasica Strumica

(Home)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 6

Osogovo

(Away)
10 Oct
Osogovo
1 : 1
Gorno Lisice
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 7 5 1 1 16:6 16
2 Rabotnicki 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
3 Brera Strumica 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Makedonija GP 7 3 1 3 4:4 10
7 Kamjani 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Teteks 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
9 Detonit Plackovica 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
11 Novaci 7 2 1 4 6:9 7
12 Gorno Lisice 7 1 2 4 6:7 5
13 Osogovo 7 0 3 4 3:7 3
14 Shkupi 7 0 0 7 1:23 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)