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Belasica Strumica vs Pelister - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belasica Strumica host Pelister in the 2. MFL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Belasica Strumica at 1.41 goals for, 0.66 against; Pelister at 1.43 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Belasica Strumica have won 1 to Pelister's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.44) back Belasica Strumica to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Belasica Strumica
35%
Draws
44%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Pelister haven't matched Belasica Strumica's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Pelister taking it.
  • Regular 2. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pelister here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 16%
Pelister Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Pelister
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 2. MFL
Pelister vs Belasica Strumica
3:0
Aug 12, 2023 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Pelister
0:2
Apr 23, 2023 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Pelister
2:1
Oct 29, 2022 2. MFL
Pelister vs Belasica Strumica
1:0
May 16, 2021 1. MFL
Pelister vs Belasica Strumica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 10 / 100
Pelister 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelister Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasica Strumica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Belasica Strumica found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Pelister has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS Pelister
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasica Strumica

(Home)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 6

Pelister

(Away)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
3 Brera Strumica 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
4 Rabotnicki 5 4 0 1 6:2 12
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Kamjani 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
7 Novaci 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
8 Makedonija GP 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
9 Detonit Plackovica 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Teteks 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
12 Gorno Lisice 6 1 1 4 5:6 4
13 Osogovo 6 0 2 4 2:6 2
14 Shkupi 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)