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Stadium Background

Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Belasica Strumica and Septemvri Simitli finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Belasica Strumica
6%
Draws
90%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Belasica Strumica have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Septemvri Simitli are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Model gives Septemvri Simitli a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Septemvri Simitli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasica Strumica Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
0:3
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
2:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 10 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasica Strumica Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasica Strumica scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Septemvri Simitli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Belasica Strumica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS Septemvri Simitli
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasica Strumica

(Home)
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Belasica Strumica
1 : 0
Kamenica Sasa
10 May
Novaci
1 : 0
Belasica Strumica
02 May
Belasica Strumica
0 : 1
Bregalnica Stip
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kyustendil
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0
Septemvri Simitli
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1
Kostinbrod
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
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