Sport Picks

North Macedonia

2. MFL 2024/2025

Vardarski

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belasica Strumica play Vardarski in the 2. MFL 2024/2025. Belasica Strumica are favorites here. Recently, Belasica Strumica averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Vardarski averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Belasica Strumica won 2, Vardarski won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Belasica Strumica and 1.06 for Vardarski. This points to a Belasica Strumica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Belasica Strumica

Draws

Vardarski

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belasica Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Belasica Strumica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vardarski.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Belasica Strumica.
League standings and seasonal metrics in 2. MFL 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 20%

Vardarski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belasica Strumica	Vardarski
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	17	3
Draws	4	2
Losses	11	25
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 2. MFL

Belasica Strumica vs Vardarski

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Oct 19, 2024 2. MFL

Vardarski vs Belasica Strumica

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly

Vardarski vs Belasica Strumica

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasica Strumica 85 / 100

Vardarski 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belasica Strumica Vardarski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasica Strumica scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Vardarski let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Belasica Strumica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vardarski lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belasica Strumica VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Makedonija GP	30	19	8	3	47:8	65
2	Arsimi	30	20	5	5	55:24	65
3	Bashkimi	30	20	6	4	52:22	63
4	Bregalnica Stip	30	17	7	6	38:23	58
5	Detonit Plackovica	30	10	14	6	40:30	44
6	Kamenica Sasa	30	12	6	12	48:44	42
7	Ohrid	30	12	6	12	36:40	42
8	Belasica Strumica	30	10	11	9	35:30	41
9	Kozuf Gevgelija	30	9	12	9	32:27	39
10	FK Skopje	30	9	12	9	32:32	39
11	Novaci	30	9	8	13	31:36	35
12	Pobeda	30	8	9	13	28:34	33
13	Vardar Negotino	30	10	3	17	34:52	33
14	Osogovo	30	7	8	15	29:44	29
15	Borec	30	4	5	21	22:54	17
16	Vardarski	30	3	2	25	21:80	11