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Belasitsa Petrich vs Chavdar Etropole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Tsar Samuil, Petrich
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belasitsa Petrich host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Chavdar Etropole have shipped 2.72 goals a game lately, while Belasitsa Petrich have conceded 2.1 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Belasitsa Petrich slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2022, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.56, favoring Belasitsa Petrich. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Belasitsa Petrich
15%
Draws
76%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Belasitsa Petrich have won more games recently than Chavdar Etropole.
  • Win probability leans Belasitsa Petrich's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 15%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belasitsa Petrich Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.41 0.45
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2022 Bulgarian Cup
Chavdar Etropole vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:1
Sep 25, 2021 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Chavdar Etropole
2:1
May 29, 2021 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Chavdar Etropole
3:1
Nov 28, 2020 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Belasitsa Petrich
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belasitsa Petrich 35 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belasitsa Petrich Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasitsa Petrich scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Chavdar Etropole conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Belasitsa Petrich stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belasitsa Petrich VS Chavdar Etropole
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Belasitsa Petrich

(Home)
17 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
10 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
07 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Balkan Botevgrad
04 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
17 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
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