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Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL ACT McKellar Park, Canberra
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belconnen United host Canberra Olympic in the NPL ACT. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Belconnen United at 1.63 goals for, 2.5 against; Canberra Olympic at 1.88 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, Belconnen United have won 2 to Canberra Olympic's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 4:4. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.19, favoring Canberra Olympic. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Belconnen United
11%
Draws
9%
Canberra Olympic
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Belconnen United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canberra Olympic come out ahead of Belconnen United on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Belconnen United taking it.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 10%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belconnen United Canberra Olympic
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United
4:4
Sep 6, 2025 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Capital Premier League
Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United
2:4
Jun 21, 2025 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Capital Premier League
Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belconnen United 74 / 100
Canberra Olympic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belconnen United Canberra Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belconnen United scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Canberra Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Difficult form: Canberra Olympic registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belconnen United VS Canberra Olympic
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belconnen United

(Home)
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0
Belconnen United
04 Jul
Belconnen United
0 : 1
Canberra Juventus
20 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2
Queanbeyan City
13 Jun
Brindabella Blues
1 : 4
Belconnen United
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Canberra Olympic

(Away)
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
11 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 1
Canberra White Eagles
05 Jul
Canberra Croatia
3 : 0
Canberra Olympic
27 Jun
O'Connor Knights
1 : 0
Canberra Olympic
20 Jun
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5
Monaro Panthers
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canberra Croatia16131248:1840
2Monaro Panthers16130356:2239
3Tigers FC17112447:2135
4Tuggeranong United16110537:3433
5Canberra Juventus16100634:2930
6Queanbeyan City1582532:2326
7Canberra Olympic1652934:4317
8O'Connor Knights16511016:3116
9Belconnen United16231124:359
10Canberra White Eagles17211414:487
11Brindabella Blues1520138:466
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)