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Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL ACT McKellar Park, Canberra
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Billington H.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Celis D.
56' Event
Celis D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Belconnen United and Canberra Olympic finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canberra Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Belconnen United
20%
Draws
70%
Canberra Olympic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canberra Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canberra Olympic come out ahead of Belconnen United on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Canberra Olympic taking it.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 16%
Canberra Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belconnen United Canberra Olympic
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.6 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic
1:3
May 23, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United
4:4
Sep 6, 2025 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Capital Premier League
Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United
2:4
Jun 21, 2025 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belconnen United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Canberra Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Celis D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Timotheou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belconnen United 10 / 100
Canberra Olympic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belconnen United Canberra Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canberra Olympic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canberra Olympic let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Belconnen United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Belconnen United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belconnen United VS Canberra Olympic
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belconnen United

(Home)
22 Aug
Canberra Croatia
4 : 0
Belconnen United
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3
Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Monaro Panthers
7 : 0
Belconnen United
01 Aug
Belconnen United
0 : 1
Tigers FC
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1
O'Connor Knights
Page 1 of 6

Canberra Olympic

(Away)
22 Aug
Canberra Olympic
5 : 4
Brindabella Blues
16 Aug
Belconnen United
1 : 3
Canberra Olympic
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5
Tigers FC
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
25 Jul
Canberra Olympic
2 : 2
Queanbeyan City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)