Sport Picks
Belconnen United vs Tuggeranong United
Australia
NPL ACT McKellar Park, Canberra 
Match Events
15'
15'
Davies X.
33'
33'
Ceruti J.
40'
40'
Ringi T.
AI Match Summary
Tuggeranong United in this NPL ACT matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuggeranong United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belconnen United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tuggeranong United lately — more wins on the board than Belconnen United.
- Belconnen United are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 10%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belconnen United | Tuggeranong United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United
1:0
Jun 3, 2026 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Tuggeranong United
1:3
Jul 25, 2021 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United
0:2
May 29, 2021 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Tuggeranong United
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Belconnen United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ringi T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Tuggeranong United Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies X.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ceruti J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Belconnen United 34 / 100
Tuggeranong United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Belconnen United Tuggeranong United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Belconnen United scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Tuggeranong United conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Belconnen United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Belconnen United VS Tuggeranong United
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Belconnen United
(Home) 25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1 O'Connor Knights
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0 Belconnen United
04 Jul
Belconnen United
0 : 1 Canberra Juventus
20 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2 Queanbeyan City
13 Jun
Brindabella Blues
1 : 4 Belconnen United
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Belconnen United
1 : 1 O'Connor Knights
04 Jul
Belconnen United
0 : 1 Canberra Juventus
20 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2 Queanbeyan City
10 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 2 Canberra White Eagles
03 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 4
Tuggeranong United
(Away) 25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
22 Jul
Tuggeranong United
2 : 1 Canberra White Eagles
11 Jul
Tuggeranong United
1 : 0 Belconnen United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Tigers FC
4 : 1 Tuggeranong United
28 Jun
Canberra Croatia
1 : 2 Tuggeranong United
13 Jun
O'Connor Knights
2 : 3 Tuggeranong United
03 Jun
Belconnen United
1 : 3 Tuggeranong United
30 May
Canberra Juventus
5 : 0 Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 48:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 56:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 47:21 | 35 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong United | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 37:34 | 33 |
| 5 | Canberra Juventus | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 34:29 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 34:43 | 17 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 16:31 | 16 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24:35 | 9 |
| 10 | Canberra White Eagles | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14:48 | 7 |
| 11 | Brindabella Blues | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8:46 | 6 |
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capital Premier League 2027 (Main)
