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Belene vs Tryavna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
Belene Logo

Belene

0 - 2
FT
Tryavna Logo

Tryavna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2013/2014 game between Belene and Tryavna finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tryavna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belene
15%
Draws
85%
Tryavna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tryavna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Tryavna have managed 0.64 goals a game lately — Belene are scoring more at 0.68.
  • Win probability leans Belene's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Belene Clean Sheet 20%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belene Tryavna
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 3 3
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 28
Goals Scored 0.68 0.64
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2016 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Belene
1:0
Aug 23, 2015 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Tryavna
0:0
Mar 9, 2014 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Tryavna
0:2
Aug 25, 2013 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Belene
0:3
May 3, 2013 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Belene
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belene 85 / 100
Tryavna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belene Tryavna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tryavna let in goals in 92% of their last 36 matches.

Away concern: Tryavna has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Belene scored in 32% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tryavna
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Belene

(Home)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
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Tryavna

(Away)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
Promotion - B PFG 2014/2015 (Main)