Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense U20 2024

Comercial PA U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belenense U20 play Comercial PA U20 in the Paraense U20 2024. Belenense U20 are favorites here. Recently, Belenense U20 averaged 3.41 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Comercial PA U20 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 5.8 conceded. In past meetings, Belenense U20 won 1, Comercial PA U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 9, 2024 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Belenense U20 and 0.88 for Comercial PA U20. This points to a Belenense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Belenense U20

23%

Draws

13%

Comercial PA U20

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Belenense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Belenense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Comercial PA U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Belenense U20 Clean Sheet 25%

Comercial PA U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belenense U20	Comercial PA U20
Matches Played	17	5
Wins	9	1
Draws	5	0
Losses	3	4
Goals Scored	3.41	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.24	5.8
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	5.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Paraense U20

Belenense U20 vs Comercial PA U20

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenense U20 63 / 100

Comercial PA U20 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belenense U20 Comercial PA U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense U20 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Belenense U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.6%

1.79

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.4%

1.39

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belenense U20 attacking → ← attacking Comercial PA U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenense U20 scored in 94% of their last 17 games.

Comercial PA U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Belenense U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Comercial PA U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 3

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tuna Luso U20	5	4	0	1	35:2	12
2	Maracana Taua U20	5	3	1	1	25:5	10
3	Belenense U20	5	3	1	1	14:4	10
4	Pinheirense U20	5	2	2	1	18:7	8
5	Comercial PA U20	5	1	0	4	4:29	3
6	Terra Alta U20	5	0	0	5	1:50	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paysandu PA U20	5	4	1	0	23:3	13
2	Sport Belem U20	5	4	0	1	11:1	12
3	Venus U20	5	2	1	2	11:5	7
4	Uniao Barbarense U20	5	1	2	2	9:11	5
5	Boca Junior U20	5	1	2	2	5:9	5
6	Ponte Nova U20	5	0	0	5	3:33	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Remo U20	6	6	0	0	27:6	18
2	CRT-23 Benevides U20	6	5	0	1	21:5	15
3	Craques do Futuro U20	6	3	1	2	33:11	10
4	Atletico Barbarense U20	6	2	1	3	10:21	7
5	Atletico JM9 U20	6	1	1	4	8:24	4
6	Trabalhista U20	6	1	1	4	9:28	4
7	CA Vila Rica U20	6	1	0	5	12:25	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fonte Nova U20	6	6	0	0	16:4	18
2	Juventude Barcarenense U20	6	5	0	1	23:2	15
3	Bragantino PA U20	6	3	0	3	10:9	9
4	Estrela PA U20	6	2	1	3	9:17	7
5	Cruzeirao U20	6	2	1	3	7:16	7
6	Tiradentes PA U20	6	2	0	4	15:13	6
7	ESMAC U20	6	0	0	6	5:24	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Castanhal U20	6	4	0	2	13:9	12
2	Real Naval U20	6	4	0	2	13:10	12
3	Meninos de Ouro U20	6	3	1	2	13:9	10
4	Castelo dos Sonhos U20	6	0	1	5	5:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aguia De Maraba U20	4	3	1	0	10:2	10
2	EC Tailandia U20	4	2	1	1	8:4	7
3	Tailandia AC U20	4	0	0	4	0:12	0