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Belenenses U19 vs Alverca U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Ayase M.
88' Event
Ayase M.

AI Match Summary

Alverca U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belenenses U19
30%
Draws
70%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alverca U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Alverca U19 at 1.13 per game, Belenenses U19 at 0.7.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alverca U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Belenenses U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenenses U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.7 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Alverca U19
0:5
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Belenenses U19
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Alverca U19
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Belenenses U19
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Alverca U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belenenses U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Alverca U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayase M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenenses U19 10 / 100
Alverca U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenenses U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenenses U19's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Alverca U19 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Alverca U19 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belenenses U19 VS Alverca U19
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belenenses U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
04 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 3
Academico Viseu U19
21 Mar
Academico Viseu U19
3 : 0
Belenenses U19
14 Mar
Torreense U19
4 : 1
Belenenses U19
Page 1 of 6

Alverca U19

(Away)
26 Sept
Santa Clara U19
1 : 1
Alverca U19
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)