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Belenenses U19 vs Casa Pia U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belenenses U19 play Casa Pia U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belenenses U19 averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Casa Pia U19 averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Belenenses U19 won 1, Casa Pia U19 won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Belenenses U19 and 1.19 for Casa Pia U19. This points to a Casa Pia U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Belenenses U19
35%
Draws
33%
Casa Pia U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casa Pia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Belenenses U19 picked up more points recently compared to Casa Pia U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Belenenses U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Pia U19 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belenenses U19 Casa Pia U19
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.69 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Belenenses U19
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Casa Pia U19
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Casa Pia U19
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Belenenses U19
0:0
May 20, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Casa Pia U19
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belenenses U19 33 / 100
Casa Pia U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belenenses U19 Casa Pia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Casa Pia U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belenenses U19 attacking → ← attacking Casa Pia U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenenses U19 scored in 57% of their last 35 games.

Casa Pia U19 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Belenenses U19 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Casa Pia U19 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 38
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Porto U1922127342:2343
2Vizela U1922126451:3242
3Famalicao U1922118338:2241
4Braga U1922116538:2839
5Vitoria Guimaraes U1922115643:3738
6Gil Vicente U192294942:3831
7Pacos Ferreira U192286841:4530
8Gondomar U1922921129:3829
9Boavista U1922841027:3128
10Rio Ave U1922751022:2826
11Tondela U1922351417:3714
12Anadia U1922041823:544
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U1922153469:2948
2Sporting CP U1922145340:1647
3Alverca U1922126443:3642
4Estoril U1922105728:3535
5Academica U1922105732:2935
6Belenenses U192297632:2334
7Torreense U1922841031:3428
8Maritimo U1922571019:3322
9Casa Pia U1922631322:4621
10Nacional U1922551226:3920
11Vitoria Setubal U1922551228:3620
12Vilafranquense U1922351419:3314