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Belford Roxo vs Santa Cruz RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
25' Event
58' Event

AI Match Summary

Belford Roxo in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belford Roxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Belford Roxo
20%
Draws
42%
Santa Cruz RJ
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz RJ lately — more wins on the board than Belford Roxo.
  • Belford Roxo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belford Roxo Santa Cruz RJ
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.44 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs Santa Cruz RJ
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs Santa Cruz RJ
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belford Roxo 68 / 100
Santa Cruz RJ 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belford Roxo Santa Cruz RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Belford Roxo found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Santa Cruz RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Belford Roxo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belford Roxo VS Santa Cruz RJ
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Belford Roxo

(Home)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz RJ

(Away)
05 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)