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Belford Roxo vs Serra Macaense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Belford Roxo Logo

Belford Roxo

2 - 0
FT
Serra Macaense Logo

Serra Macaense

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Foguete
57' Event
Foguete
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belford Roxo in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belford Roxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Belford Roxo
15%
Draws
59%
Serra Macaense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serra Macaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serra Macaense lately — more wins on the board than Belford Roxo.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Serra Macaense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belford Roxo Serra Macaense
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Carioca B2
Belford Roxo vs Serra Macaense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Foguete
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Serra Macaense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belford Roxo 24 / 100
Serra Macaense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belford Roxo Serra Macaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Macaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belford Roxo scored in 71% of their last 21 games.

Serra Macaense let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Belford Roxo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belford Roxo VS Serra Macaense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belford Roxo

(Home)
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
23 Jun
Resende
8 : 1
Belford Roxo
17 Jun
Belford Roxo
1 : 3
Resende
23 Nov
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Goytacaz
16 Nov
Goytacaz
0 : 0
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 5

Serra Macaense

(Away)
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
09 Nov
Belford Roxo
2 : 0
Serra Macaense
06 Nov
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
Macae
02 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
26 Oct
Serra Macaense
1 : 0
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)