Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belgium U17 vs Italy U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Sun, Jun 7, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Biondini E.
58'
Sub
Croci F. In: Casagrande T.
Out: Croci F.
58'
Sub
Gasparello F. In: Ballarin F.
Out: Gasparello F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Italy U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Belgium U17
20%
Draws
44%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Belgium U17 haven't matched Italy U17's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Italy U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Italy U17, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Italy U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Belgium U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 19 22
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Euro U17
Belgium U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
May 26, 2025 Euro U17
Belgium U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Euro U17
Belgium U17 vs Italy U17
3:5
Sep 3, 2021 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Belgium U17
0:0
May 17, 2018 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Belgium U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojea N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Italy U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U17 31 / 100
Italy U17 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium U17 found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Italy U17 conceded in 71% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: Belgium U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U17 VS Italy U17
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U17

(Home)
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Belgium U17
2 : 1
France U17
31 May
Belgium U17
1 : 0
Estonia U17
28 May
Belgium U17
0 : 1
Spain U17
25 May
Croatia U17
0 : 2
Belgium U17
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17

(Away)
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Belgium U17 2
France U17 1
Italy U17 2
Spain U17 1
Final
Belgium U17 1
Italy U17 2