Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belgium U17 W vs Portugal U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belgium U17 W play Portugal U17 W in the Euro U17 Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belgium U17 W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Portugal U17 W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Belgium U17 W won 1, Portugal U17 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Belgium U17 W and 1.88 for Portugal U17 W. This points to a Portugal U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Belgium U17 W
15%
Draws
48%
Portugal U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Belgium U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Portugal U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Belgium U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U17 W Portugal U17 W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.73 2
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Belgium U17 W vs Portugal U17 W
0:1
Sep 25, 2018 Euro U17 Women
Portugal U17 W vs Belgium U17 W
1:2
Mar 23, 2018 Euro U17 Women
Portugal U17 W vs Belgium U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Portugal U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Florentino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U17 W 35 / 100
Portugal U17 W 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U17 W Portugal U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portugal U17 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belgium U17 W attacking → ← attacking Portugal U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium U17 W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Portugal U17 W let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Belgium U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portugal U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 62
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U17 W33009:19
2France U17 W320111:36
3Norway U17 W31022:113
4Sweden U17 W30033:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U17 W33009:09
2Poland U17 W31112:24
3Portugal U17 W31112:44
4Belgium U17 W30030:70