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Belgium U18 vs Italy U18

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Crimaldi A.
75' Event
Delorge L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Belgium U18 and Italy U18 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Belgium U18
15%
Draws
59%
Italy U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U18 haven't matched Belgium U18's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Italy U18 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Belgium U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U18 Italy U18
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.56 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 Friendly International
Belgium U18 vs Italy U18
1:1
Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Belgium U18 vs Italy U18
0:1
Mar 23, 2020 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Belgium U18
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Delorge L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Crimaldi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U18 28 / 100
Italy U18 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U18 Italy U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belgium U18 scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Italy U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Belgium U18 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U18 VS Italy U18
0.8 Goals Scored 1
0.8 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U18

(Home)
09 Sept
Qatar U17
1 : 2
Belgium U18
06 Sept
South Korea U18
3 : 2
Belgium U18
03 Sept
Croatia U18
7 : 0
Belgium U18
24 Mar
Belgium U18
1 : 1
Italy U18
21 Mar
Belgium U18
0 : 1
Italy U18
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Italy U18

(Away)
29 Sept
Italy U18
3 : 1
Denmark U18
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
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