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Belgium U23 W vs Italy U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Helsen K.
55' Event
Cavallin C.
73' Event
Zanoli M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Belgium U23 W and Italy U23 W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belgium U23 W
15%
Draws
85%
Italy U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Italy U23 W come out ahead of Belgium U23 W on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Italy U23 W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Italy U23 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 18%
Italy U23 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U23 W Italy U23 W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.81 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Italy U23 W
1:2
Dec 1, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:0
Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:1
Nov 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
2:1
Oct 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Helsen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Italy U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavallin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zanoli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U23 W 10 / 100
Italy U23 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U23 W Italy U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Belgium U23 W scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Italy U23 W has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U23 W VS Italy U23 W
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Belgium U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
16 Apr
Belgium U23 W
0 : 1
Portugal U23 W
12 Apr
Germany U23 W
2 : 1
Belgium U23 W
06 Mar
Germany U23 W
4 : 2
Belgium U23 W
02 Mar
Belgium U23 W
1 : 3
Sweden U23 W
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Italy U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Belgium U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
16 Apr
Germany U23 W
1 : 0
Italy U23 W
12 Apr
Portugal U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
02 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 3
Italy U23 W
01 Dec
Italy U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
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