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World Championship 2026 Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Liechtenstein

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belgium play Liechtenstein in the World Championship 2026. Belgium are favorites here. Recently, Belgium averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1 conceded. Liechtenstein averaged 0.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Belgium won 2, Liechtenstein won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.85 for Belgium and 0.59 for Liechtenstein. This points to a Belgium double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%

Belgium

20%

Draws

11%

Liechtenstein

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Belgium picked up more points recently compared to Liechtenstein.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.85 vs 0.59 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Belgium Clean Sheet 29%

Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belgium	Liechtenstein
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	2
Draws	8	4
Losses	7	24
Goals Scored	2.31	0.3
Goals Conceded	1	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Belgium vs Liechtenstein

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

7:0

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Liechtenstein vs Belgium

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium Compare

Top Goalscorer Doku J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader De Ketelaere C.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Liechtenstein Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39

Avg xA / game 0.24

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium 68 / 100

Liechtenstein 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belgium Liechtenstein

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium Win (1)

Secondary Pick Belgium & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.2%

1.64

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belgium attacking → ← attacking Liechtenstein

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Liechtenstein let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Belgium went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Liechtenstein lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 10

3.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.43

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.57

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0