Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
De Bruyne K.
Assist: Lukebakio D.
26'
26'
Lukebakio D.
30'
30'
Tielemans Y.
AI Match Summary
Belgium in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Belgium average 2.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Turkey's 1.68.
- Win probability leans Belgium's way, sitting at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Belgium Clean Sheet 20%
Turkey Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Belgium | Turkey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 34 |
| Wins | 18 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs Turkey
3:0
Jun 3, 2011 Euro
Belgium vs Turkey
1:1
Oct 12, 2010 Friendly International
Turkey vs Belgium
0:0
Sep 7, 2010 Euro
Turkey vs Belgium
3:2
Oct 10, 2009 World Championship
Belgium vs Turkey
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Belgium Compare
Top Goalscorer De Bruyne K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lukaku R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Turkey Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Belgium 85 / 100
Turkey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Belgium Turkey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Belgium Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Belgium scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.
Defensive concern: Turkey conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Turkey lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Belgium VS Turkey
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Belgium
(Home) 05 Oct
France
4 : 1 Belgium
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0 Turkey
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1 France
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2 Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
Page 1 of 8
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0 Turkey
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1 France
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2 Senegal
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0 Iran
15 Jun
Belgium
1 : 1 Egypt
Page 1 of 4
Turkey
(Away) 05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1 Turkey
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0 Turkey
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4 Italy
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1 France
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2 USA
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1 Turkey
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0 Turkey
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2 Turkey
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1 Turkey
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
