Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Den Dreef

Match Events

28'

Sub

Amado C. In: Sousa Alves L. C.

Out: Amado C.

46'

Sub

Missipo K. In: Deloose L.

Out: Missipo K.

46'

Sub

Kees S. In: Iliano I.

Out: Kees S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belgium W host Portugal W in the UEFA Nations League Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Portugal W have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Belgium W have conceded 1 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Belgium W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.44) back Belgium W to edge this. Belgium W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Belgium W

Draws

Portugal W

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belgium W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Portugal W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Belgium W.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Belgium W.
League standings and seasonal metrics in UEFA Nations League Women provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Belgium W Clean Sheet 16%

Portugal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belgium W	Portugal W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	15
Draws	5	5
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	2	1.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Euro Women

Portugal W vs Belgium W

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women

Portugal W vs Belgium W

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Feb 26, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women

Belgium W vs Portugal W

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Oct 6, 2022 World Cup Women

Portugal W vs Belgium W

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Mar 7, 2020 Algarve Cup Women

Belgium W vs Portugal W

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium W 84 / 100

Portugal W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belgium W Portugal W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Portugal W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Belgium W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Portugal W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium W VS Portugal W

2 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany W	6	5	1	0	26:4	16
2	Netherlands W	6	3	2	1	11:10	11
3	Austria W	6	2	0	4	5:16	6
4	Scotland W	6	0	1	5	3:15	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France W	6	6	0	0	14:2	18
2	Norway W	6	2	2	2	4:5	8
3	Iceland W	6	0	4	2	6:9	4
4	Switzerland W	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain W	6	5	0	1	21:8	15
2	England W	6	3	1	2	16:6	10
3	Belgium W	6	2	0	4	9:16	6
4	Portugal W	6	1	1	4	5:21	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sweden W	6	3	3	0	13:6	12
2	Italy W	6	3	1	2	11:7	10
3	Denmark W	6	3	0	3	8:13	9
4	Wales W	6	0	2	4	4:10	2