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Belgium W vs Spain W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Den Dreef, Heverlee
Belgium W Logo

Belgium W

1 - 5
FT
Spain W Logo

Spain W

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Carmona O.
36' Event
Gonzalez Rodriguez E.
Assist: Caldentey M.
46'
Sub
Mertens Z. In: Philtjens D.
Out: Mertens Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Belgium W and Spain W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Belgium W
20%
Draws
42%
Spain W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Belgium W haven't matched Spain W's recent run of results.
  • Belgium W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 16%
Spain W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium W Spain W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 23
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.93 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 Euro Women
Spain W vs Belgium W
6:2
May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belgium W vs Spain W
1:5
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Spain W vs Belgium W
3:2
Jul 16, 2024 Euro Women
Spain W vs Belgium W
2:0
Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women
Belgium W vs Spain W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium W Compare

Top Goalscorer De Caigny T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spain W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Rodriguez E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader del Castillo A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium W 41 / 100
Spain W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium W Spain W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Belgium W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Belgium W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Spain W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgium W VS Spain W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium W

(Home)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 6

Spain W

(Away)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)